Sunday, 18 Oct 2026 18 Shawwal 2026 AH Beirut

Situation assessment

What recent events mean, and where things are likely headed.

Earlier assessments

2026-09-20 Regional Situation Assessment: Lebanese-Israeli Diplomacy Under US Auspices Amid Alert Against Iran and Turkish-Israeli Tension in Syria The most important regional conclusion is that the region is living in a phase of duality between negotiation and preparation for confrontat…