أندريه بو معشر

Israeli movements on the border could reflect a strengthening of offensive and defensive capabilities, and readiness to carry out limited incursions, or to expand existing areas of control, without necessarily constituting evidence of an imminent decision to launch a comprehensive ground operation.

But I lean toward the view that the current escalation falls within a strategy of calculated military pressure, and is not a decisive indication of a decision to launch an all-out war, especially since any major expansion of Israeli operations will remain governed by American strategic constraints, given Washington's orientation toward containing the confrontation and producing a political settlement.

Not separating this escalation from the political calculations of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, especially after his inability to decisively conclude the Israeli elections and the difficulty of forming a government, with the possibility of returning to new elections.